Granpublic Americano

A lot of alarmist posts could be found across the various tech- and left-leaning boards in the Anglosphere since January 20; the reason speaks for itself. Appeals to Godwin’s law are soaking each and every forum frequented by left-leaning folk. Sometimes, Dem Party supporters enter the mode that could be called only rabid:

Such a disease has been already studied by medicine, it’s called the TDS. However, prospects differ depending on what D stands for — Derangement, Denial, or Discussion. I, as a foreigner, though cautiously sympathetic to some of Trump’s ongoing endeavours, prefer Discussion.

I should reiterate, as I have a habit to, that I’m very glad to not be obliged for voting as an American citizen, for both sides leave a lot to be desired, maybe Lot’s wife (tee-hee).

Dems learnt nothing from the time of Trump’s first victory, they stubbornly ignored the tested and proven fact that Trump chronically underpolls. Those who support him often consider their position disfavoured by pollsters and thus keep it in secrecy till elections. I predicted such an outcome already in October, though, to be honest, the ship had sailed for Dems as early as after the abysmal June debates and the “Butlerian Jihad” incident on July 13.

Now after the 5/11 Dems debacle, they face the prospect of further electoral losses in swing states and/or retiring Senators from the states previously considered safely Blue: note crimson red shifts during Presidential elections in such Dems’ citadels as California, New York, or Delaware, and it looks like a decrease in numbers of voters who fear of splitting their preferences. All of this, of course, is just €0.05 from me as an armchair analyst from across the pond.

Trumpism, seen from Near Afar of the America, is only a symptom of the deepest societal crisis since the Great Depression; the Dem Party, especially neocon wing, proudly shares their part of responsiblity for this, and for erosion of the American Republic on its path of (failed) transition according to geopolitical reality of the day.

As I noted in late 2020, i.e., before January 6 events, current American situation looks from the outside markedly more complicated than in times of comparable division, the day before your Civil War.

Red and Blue electoral zones permeate one another so diffusively that one look at the color-coded US map above is sufficient to fathom deepness of the problem, for which no fast & furious solution like separation or secession exists, whatever proponents of each mutually incompatible worldviews would support.

Is this a grave constitutional crisis of yours, or just the example of evolution in action? I think both answers are partially correct.

Such a paradigm-breaking shift had been studied previously, your current turmoil even looks natural for Roman-styled state in troubles of transition from the Republic to the Empire.

The iron law of decay and subsequent transformations makes no exception for each known form of government. The cycle goes on and on, and only science & technology drive the progress in leaps.

In our modern case, I’d speak about transition to, ahem, moderately mature cyberpunk society, sprinkled with darker glitter of obligatory dystopia. After all, cyberpunk works without dystopian elements are few and far between.

Legacy, obsolete bureaucrats of the Republic may suffer. One can’t sell the Moon, or rather Mars, without breaking a couple of golden eggs. Also, someone has to cast the die, because US trade deficit had long ago slipped out of control. Nay, further, financialization of the American economy became downright grotesque; pretty the sole sector outside finances that shows any semblance of healthy growth is oil and gas production & chemical engineering.

Michael F. Flynn codified the phenomenon perfectly in his recent (alas, posthumous) novel, In the Belly of the Whale — you can read my review of it here, though in Russian.

“… Everyone creates in his own image, and the Planners of the Imperium were no exception. So, they gave us an aristocracy like themselves. But every regime decays into some form of anarchy.

Monarchs become lawless tyrants; aristocracies, squabbling, self-interested oligarchies; and republics decay into democracies…”

“What about the Murqans? That worked out well, if I rightly remember.”

“That mutiny started over heavy taxation, didn’t it? How long was it before the new regime was levying taxes that would have made the old kings blanch? They did their best to limit the powers of their government, after which their government did its best to ignore those limits. Eventually, they wound up with the president-emperors of the Granpublic Americano. They delayed their decay, but they could not prevent it…”

Republicans may find useful to fill the lack of strong female figure (note that I said female, not aggressive progressive feminist, of course; you, and the whole wide world along with you, have enough of those recently).

I would nominate Laura Birn, hadn’t she been born in Finland. (Yes, I was surprised to discover it, too!)

Though, for example, among Trump’s recent picks Gabbard or Bondi have potential hardly tapped.

I have nothing against usage of the term Republicans up the road, however. After all, Russian Federation, the land of my birth, in its current shape has next to nothing in common with federal state; whereas the Dem Party of the US, to be honest, is still called so for a purely legacy reason.